Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. Only teams rated in at least five different seasons appear in this table. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Washington State 70 - - - - 17 4 16 - - - 17 - - 5 - 11 - - -
Oregon 55½ 3 -1 13½ -3 - -13 7 19 7 - - - 8 15 - - - - -
Boise State 50 - 21 -6 14 10 11 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Boston College 44½ 15½ 6 7 5 - -3 5 - - - - - -5 3 6 5 - - -
Brigham Young 32 12 10 - - - - 1 - - - -6 21 - 8 -4 - 3 -17 4
Georgia 31 12 -7 3 -4 3 6 3 -11 -1 10 16 - - -3 -12 7 9 - -
Kansas State 31 - - - -15 -8 19 -14 1 14 -6 14 1 12 7 6 - - - -
Mississippi 28 - - - - 13 - - -8 4 - 4 - - - - 10 - 5 -
Virginia Tech 21 -1 -2 1 16 -18 -2 -10 5 9 3 - 4 16 -4 4 - - - -
North Carolina State 20 - - - - -10 14 - - - - - - - 9 -3 8 2 - -
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Texas Tech 18 4 -6 2 8 - - - - - - - - 3 - - - - - 7
Arizona State 17½ 10 -4 -7 7 - - - - -18 12 18 - - - - - - -
Louisville 17 -17 5 -8 20 - -6 9 - - - - - - - 2 - 12 - -
Wisconsin 15 -17 19 11 4 -5 - - -19 6 13 - - -2 -15 20 - - - -
Alabama 14½ - - 13 - -2½ 14 - -23 11 - -9 4 -10 4 -11 8 18 -11 9
Arkansas 14 -2 11 - - - - - - 5 10 - - - - - -2 - -10 2
Mississippi State 13½ - - - - - - -5½ 2 13 - - - - 2 -1 3 - - -
Illinois 13 6 - - - - - 14 -3 2 - - - -4 -2 - - - -16 16
Michigan State 13 - - - - - -9 - - 19 -6 -2 - - - - - -2 3 10
Texas Christian 12 -6 2 15 - - 3 - -2 - - - - - - - - - - -
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Georgia Tech 10½ - - - - - - -14 9 -7 16½ 1 - - - - - -19 24 -
Iowa 8 - -11 -14 11 18 18 - - - - -5 1 1 - - -12 2 8 -9
California 5 -13 -1 -1 7 - - - - - - - - - - 1 -6 18 - -
Purdue 3 - - -11 - 2 - -3 4 -2 2 11 - - - - - - - -
West Virginia -1 -6 21 -15 - 1 - - - -15 - - - - 18½ - - - -2
Virginia 1 - - - -5 -7 4 - - -1 -1 - -1 1 11 - -5 - -3 8
North Carolina -1 - - - - - - - - - -14 1 13 -6 -7 5 7 - - -
Stanford -2 - - - - - - 10 - - - -8 - - -5 -11 8 4 - -
Ohio State -3 6 0 2 -11 -2 10 - -10 -17 -1 -2 8 6 6 6 4 -9 -1 2
Pittsburgh -3 - - -3 1 -17 7 - - - - - - - - - - - - 9
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Auburn -4½ 3 -2½ 3 9 -21 12 - 8 - -3 5 -8 -14 6 22 - -13 -15 4
Colorado -7 - - - - - -13 13 -1 -12 - -18 -3 9 3 -7 3 5 2 12
Arizona -11 - - - - - - - - -22 22 - - -1 -12 3 - - -2 1
Louisiana State -25 1 6 1 -12 12 -11 4 4 - -19 -2 9 - - - - - - -18
Penn State -27 -9½ -6 23 - - 8 - -6 -8 -2 -13 5 -10 8 -23 2 3 -6
Washington -28 - - - - -14 -14 1 12 - -8 -12 8 -3 - -14 -6 6 13 3
Syracuse -34½ - - - - - - 12 - - -11 -6½ -12 7 - -20 4 8 -4 -12
Tennessee -37 0 -2 -23 0 -2 -21 3 -13 -7 9 -5 -6 6 -10 -1 14 -5 5 21
Texas A&M -41 -3 - -10 - - -4 - -2 -15 5 6 -13 -11 9 -5 -5 4 -3 6
Florida -43½ -7 -3½ -12 -20 -2 -2 -6 -2 -3 3 3 -4 5 -2 -4 8 -
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
UCLA -43½ -11 - 10 - - - -12 - -9 1 21 - -10½ -10 8 -13 3 - -21
Clemson -45 5 -5 5 -9 4 - -7 -4 - - -7 - - -1 -2 -14 -8 -2 0
Oklahoma -49½ 2 -3 -17 -1 -2 -4 -2 20 - - - - -10½ -13 3 -7 -2 0 -13
Miami-Florida -55 -1 -14 -7 -6 -2 1 1 3 -3 6 -13 -3 -10 1 -10 -2 3 -1 2
Southern Cal -59 -2 1 -1 0 10 14 - -12 -10 - -1 -18 -6 1 -8 - -11 -12 -4
Florida State -62 -5 -16 -9 -9 4 -17 -9 -3 0 -1 1 -1 -3 -3 0 4 -3 6 2
Nebraska -62½ -7 -7 2 -2 -18 -3 -7 2 -13 3 -5 1 1 5 -3 3 -17 -4
Notre Dame -69 - -16 17 - -8 9 -11 11 -8 0 -17 -13 -4 -22 5 0 -7 -5 0
Texas -71 -7½ -10 1 2 -8 -4 -2 -5 0 10½ -14 -16 4 -7 - -8 -15 14 -6
Michigan -77½ -14 6 -22 -6 1 1 -7 -5 2 -7 13½ -6 -4 -7 -19 2 -4 4 -6
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on all teams (not just those rated in at least five different seasons), see the All Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Big West member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Nebraska) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)