Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. Only teams rated in at least ten different seasons (approximately 40% of the years) appear in this table. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

Team Total 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Oregon 73½ -7 3-174 123-113½ -3--13 7197--- 815-----
Boise State 68 -6 73-610 15-21-6 141011---- ------- --
Kansas State 53 -1111-- -----15 -819 -14114 -6141127 6----
Michigan State 46 20-10912- 2------9 --19-6 -2---- --2310
Boston College 44½ ----- -15½675- -35--- ---536 5---
Texas Christian 39 -7 -43312 19-6215- 13--2- -------- --
Brigham Young 33 ----11 -101210-- --1--- -621-8 -4-3 -174
Louisville 30 0 13--- --175-8 20--69- ------2- -12-
Stanford 28 -6 13022- -------10 ----8 ---5 -1084--
Auburn 26½ 24--22- -153-2½ 39-2112- 8--35 -8-146 22--13 -154
Team Total 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Alabama 24½ -6 0-9 18--13- -2½14- -2311- -94 -104 -11818 -119
Arizona State 12 5--1-- -9½10-4 -77 -----18 1218----- --
Georgia Tech 11½ - ---63 4------ -149-7 16½1----- -1924-
Iowa 11½ - ---1512½ 6--11-14 111818---- -511-- -1228-9
Wisconsin 10 0 -136510 -13-17 19114-5- --19613- --2-15 20----
Arkansas 9 - -1683- --211-- ----510-- ----2- -102
Virginia 1 ----- -----5 -74-- -1-1 --1111- -5--3 8
Colorado -7 ----- ------ -1313-1 -12--18 -393 -735212
Virginia Tech -11 - -9-13 -8-3½ -1-2 116-18 -2-105 93-416 -44--- -
Georgia -19 -22-1 -4-13½ -1112-7 3-4363 -11-110 16---3 -1279--
Team Total 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
West Virginia -20½ - -127-21 -16-1 -621-15 -1----15 ----18½-- --2
Penn State -24 - ---9-1 13-9½-6 23--8--6 -8-2 -135-10 8-2323 -6
Ohio State -25 -99-11 -30 -860 2-11-2 10--10 -17-1 -286664 -9-12
Washington -27 1---- ------14 -14112- -8-128 -3--14 -66133
UCLA -33½ 10---- --11-10- ---12- -9121- -10½-10 8-133- -21
Syracuse -34½ ----- -------12- --11-6½ -127--20 48-4-12
Texas A&M -40 -11 20½-15½7- --3--10 ---4- -2-155 6-13-11 9-5-5 4-36
Tennessee -45 ----- -80 -2-23 0-2 -213-13 -79-5 -66-10 -114-5 521
Louisiana State -49½ -3 -11½311-7 -17161 -1212-11 44--19 -29--- ----18
Clemson -50 084-2 -185-5 5-94- -7-4- --7-- -1-2 -14-8 -30
Team Total 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Miami-Florida -61 - ---137 --1-14 -7-6 -2113 -36-13 -3-101 -10-23 -12
Florida -69½ -1412-4 -22-2 4-7 -3½-12 -20 -2-2 -6-2 -333 -45-2 -48-
Florida State -76 9 -4-194-9 5-5-16 -9-94 -17-9 -30 -11-1 -3-3 04-3 62
Notre Dame -78½ -6 20-17--6½ ---1617 --89 -1111-8 0-17 -13-4 -225 0-7 -50
Oklahoma -87½ 10 -11-141-23 -12-3 -17-1 -2-4 -220--- --10½-13 3-7-2 0-13
Michigan -88½ -9-1614 -- --146 -22-61 1-7-5 2-713½ -6-4 -7-192 -44-6
Nebraska -88½ -8 -7-12-1112 --7-7 2-2 -18-3 -72-13 3-5115 -33-17 -4
Southern Cal -95 2-25 17-12-18 0-21 -1010 14--12 -10--1 -18-61 -8--11 -12-4
Texas -112 -17 -10--200 6-7½-10 12-8 -4-2 -50 10½-14-16 4-7- -8-15 14-6

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on all teams (not just those rated in a minimum number of different seasons), see the All Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Big West member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Nebraska) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)