Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. All teams rated in the preseason or final ratings in any year in the span are given. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

Team Total 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Washington State 70 - - - - - 17 4 16 - - - 17 - - 5 - 11 - - -
Oregon 67½ 12 3 -1 13½ -3 - -13 7 19 7 - - - 8 15 - - - - -
Boise State 65 15 - 21 -6 14 10 11 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Utah 61 24 - - - 16 5 - - - - - - - - 16 - - - - -
Boston College 44½ - 15½ 6 7 5 - -3 5 - - - - - -5 3 6 5 - - -
Mississippi 40 12 - - - - 13 - - -8 4 - 4 - - - - 10 - 5 -
Alabama 32½ 18 - - 13 - -2½ 14 - -23 11 - -9 4 -10 4 -11 8 18 -11 9
Kansas State 31 - - - - -15 -8 19 -14 1 14 -6 14 1 12 7 6 - - - -
Texas Christian 31 19 -6 2 15 - - 3 - -2 - - - - - - - - - - -
Kansas 28 -12 19 - - - - - - - - - - - 17 - - 4 - - -
Team Total 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Oregon State 27½ 8 1 5 - - - - -8½ 22 - - - - - - - - - - -
Virginia Tech 22½ -1 -2 1 16 -18 -2 -10 5 9 3 - 4 16 -4 4 - - - -
Brigham Young 22 -10 12 10 - - - - 1 - - - -6 21 - 8 -4 - 3 -17 4
Georgia 20 -11 12 -7 3 -4 3 6 3 -11 -1 10 16 - - -3 -12 7 9 - -
North Carolina State 20 - - - - - -10 14 - - - - - - - 9 -3 8 2 - -
Maryland 19 - - - - -4 0 8 15 - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tulane 19 - - - - - - - - - - 19 - - - - - - - - -
Cincinnati 18 9 9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Texas Tech 18 0 4 -6 2 8 - - - - - - - - 3 - - - - - 7
Louisville 17 - -17 5 -8 20 - -6 9 - - - - - - - 2 - 12 - -
Team Total 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Miami-Ohio 16 - - - - - 16 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Colorado State 15 - - - - - - - - 12 - -13 6 - - 10 - - - - -
East Carolina 15 - - - - - - - -2 - - - - - - - - - 17 - -
Michigan State 15 2 - - - - - -9 - - 19 -6 -2 - - - - - -2 3 10
Georgia Tech 14½ 4 - - - - - - -14 9 -7 16½ 1 - - - - - -19 24 -
Arkansas 14 - -2 11 - - - - - - 5 10 - - - - - -2 - -10 2
Iowa 14 6 - -11 -14 11 18 18 - - - - -5 1 1 - - -12 2 8 -9
Minnesota 14 - - - - - 6 - - - 8 - - - - - - - - - -
South Carolina 14 -1 - - - - - - 8 7 - - - - - - - - - - -
Mississippi State 13½ - - - - - - - -5½ 2 13 - - - - 2 -1 3 - - -
Team Total 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Northwestern 13 - - - - - - - -10 - - - - 5 18 - - - - - -
Southern Miss 10 - - - - - - - - -4 12 -5 7 - - - - - - - -
Air Force 9 - - - - - - - - - - 13 - - - - - - -4 - -
Hawaii 9 - 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 6 - - -
Marshall 9 - - - - - - -5 - - 14 - - - - - - - - - -
Arizona State 8 -9½ 10 -4 -7 7 - - - - -18 12 18 - - - - - - -
Oklahoma State 8 10 - - - - -4 - - - - - 2 - - - - - - - -
Illinois 7 -6 6 - - - - - 14 -3 2 - - - -4 -2 - - - -16 16
Missouri 6 -13 22 - - -11 - - - - - 5 3 - - - - - - - -
Wake Forest 6 -3 - 8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1 - - -
Team Total 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
California 5 - -13 -1 -1 7 - - - - - - - - - - 1 -6 18 - -
Toledo 5 - - - - - - - 3 - - - - - 2 - - - - - -
Tulsa 5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 5 - -
Rutgers - -9½ 14 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Houston 4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -6 13 -3
Wyoming 4 - - - - - - - - - - - - 4 - - - - - - -
Bowling Green 3 - - - - - 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Purdue 3 - - - -11 - 2 - -3 4 -2 2 11 - - - - - - - -
Navy 2 - - - - 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Wisconsin 2 -13 -17 19 11 4 -5 - - -19 6 13 - - -2 -15 20 - - - -
Team Total 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Army 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - 1 - - - - - - -
Iowa State 1 - - - - - - - - 1 - - - - - - - - - - -
Virginia 1 - - - - -5 -7 4 - - -1 -1 - -1 1 11 - -5 - -3 8
Memphis -1 - - - - -1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
North Carolina -1 - - - - - - - - - - -14 1 13 -6 -7 5 7 - - -
Fresno State -2 - - - -8 4 - - - - - - - - - - - 2 - - -
Stanford -2 - - - - - - - 10 - - - -8 - - -5 -11 8 4 - -
Baylor -3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -3 - - -
Pittsburgh -3 - - - -3 1 -17 7 - - - - - - - - - - - - 9
Colorado -7 - - - - - - -13 13 -1 -12 - -18 -3 9 3 -7 3 5 2 12
Team Total 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
South Florida -7 -7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Arizona -11 - - - - - - - - - -22 22 - - -1 -12 3 - - -2 1
Ohio State -11 -8 6 0 2 -11 -2 10 - -10 -17 -1 -2 8 6 6 6 4 -9 -1 2
Penn State -14 13 -9½ -6 23 - - 8 - -6 -8 -2 -13 5 -10 8 -23 2 3 -6
West Virginia -14½ -16 -1 -6 21 -15 - 1 - - - -15 - - - - 18½ - - - -2
Auburn -19½ -15 3 -2½ 3 9 -21 12 - 8 - -3 5 -8 -14 6 22 - -13 -15 4
Washington -28 - - - - - -14 -14 1 12 - -8 -12 8 -3 - -14 -6 6 13 3
Syracuse -34½ - - - - - - - 12 - - -11 -6½ -12 7 - -20 4 8 -4 -12
Florida -39½ 4 -7 -3½ -12 -20 -2 -2 -6 -2 -3 3 3 -4 5 -2 -4 8 -
Texas A&M -41 - -3 - -10 - - -4 - -2 -15 5 6 -13 -11 9 -5 -5 4 -3 6
Team Total 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Louisiana State -42 -17 1 6 1 -12 12 -11 4 4 - -19 -2 9 - - - - - - -18
UCLA -43½ - -11 - 10 - - - -12 - -9 1 21 - -10½ -10 8 -13 3 - -21
Tennessee -45 -8 0 -2 -23 0 -2 -21 3 -13 -7 9 -5 -6 6 -10 -1 14 -5 5 21
Oklahoma -50½ -1 2 -3 -17 -1 -2 -4 -2 20 - - - - -10½ -13 3 -7 -2 0 -13
Miami-Florida -55 - -1 -14 -7 -6 -2 1 1 3 -3 6 -13 -3 -10 1 -10 -2 3 -1 2
Florida State -57 5 -5 -16 -9 -9 4 -17 -9 -3 0 -1 1 -1 -3 -3 0 4 -3 6 2
Southern Cal -59 0 -2 1 -1 0 10 14 - -12 -10 - -1 -18 -6 1 -8 - -11 -12 -4
Nebraska -62½ - -7 -7 2 -2 -18 -3 -7 2 -13 3 -5 1 1 5 -3 3 -17 -4
Clemson -63 -18 5 -5 5 -9 4 - -7 -4 - - -7 - - -1 -2 -14 -8 -2 0
Texas -65 6 -7½ -10 1 2 -8 -4 -2 -5 0 10½ -14 -16 4 -7 - -8 -15 14 -6
Team Total 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Notre Dame -69 - - -16 17 - -8 9 -11 11 -8 0 -17 -13 -4 -22 5 0 -7 -5 0
Michigan -77½ - -14 6 -22 -6 1 1 -7 -5 2 -7 13½ -6 -4 -7 -19 2 -4 4 -6
Team Total 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on only frequently rated teams (eliminating those that only have a few years' data), see the Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Big West member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Nebraska) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)