Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. All teams rated in the preseason or final ratings in any year in the span are given. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

Team Total 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Utah 78 95----3 24---165- ------- 16-----
Boise State 71 -7 10-6 73-610 15-21-6 141011---- ------- --
Washington State 70 - ------ -----17 416---17 --5-11- --
Oregon 60½ -141-7 3-174 123-113½ -3--13 7197--- 815-----
Texas Christian 58 -423-7 -43312 19-6215- 13--2- -------- --
Kansas State 56 -3-1111-- -----15 -819 -14114 -6141127 6----
Michigan State 49½ 0 20-10912- 2------9 --19-6 -2---- --2310
Boston College 44½ ------- -15½675- -35--- ---536 5---
Missouri 39 -11221 --78- -1322-- -11---- -53---- ----
Mississippi 37½ 50- ----7½ 12----13- --84-4 ----10-5 -
Team Total 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Cincinnati 37 ----1-18 99------ -------- ----
Brigham Young 33 ------11 -101210-- --1--- -621-8 -4-3 -174
Louisville 32 -2 013--- --175-8 20--69- ------2- -12-
Mississippi State 31½ -15- --511- ------- -8½213-- --2-13 ---
Oregon State 30½ --- 6--1-2 815---- -8½22--- --------
Houston 30 18---8-- ------- -------- ---613 -3
Stanford 29 15 -14-6 13022- -------10 ----8 ---5 -1084--
Iowa 28½ 17-- ---1512½ 6--11-14 111818---- -511-- -1228-9
Kansas 27 -- -----1 -1219--- -------- 17--4---
Alabama 23½ 1 -2-6 0-9 18--13- -2½14- -2311- -94 -104 -11818 -119
Team Total 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Northwestern 23 4 --29--- ------- -10---- 518----- -
Texas Tech 23 ------5 04-6 28------ --3----- 7
Maryland 22 -----3- -----4 0815-- -------- --
Central Florida 21 --16--5- -------- -------- ----
North Carolina State 21 -----1- ------10 14------- 9-382--
Georgia Tech 20½ -918- ---63 4------ -149-7 16½1----- -1924-
Tulane 19 ------- -------- --19----- ----
Baylor 17 -9412-13- --------- -------- -3---
Miami-Ohio 16 ------- -----16-- -------- ----
Southern Miss 16 ----6-- -------- -412-5 7------- -
Team Total 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Arizona State 15 -1013 5--1-- -9½10-4 -77 -----18 1218----- --
Colorado State 15 ------- -------- 12--136- -10-----
East Carolina 15 ------- ------- -2---- -----17- -
Nevada-Reno 15 -----15- -------- -------- ----
Minnesota 14 ------- -----6-- -8------ ----
Wisconsin 11 -120 -136510 -13-17 19114-5- --19613- --2-15 20----
Navy 10 8------ ----2-- ------- ------
South Carolina 10 - -182354- -1---- --87---- -------
Utah State 10 ---10--- -------- -------- ----
Air Force 9 ------- -------- --13----- --4--
Team Total 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Hawaii 9 ------- -3------ -------- 6---
Marshall 9 - 0---- ------- -5--14- ------- --
Illinois 7 ------- -66--- --14-32 ----4 -2--- -1616
Tulsa 7 -----2- -------- -------- -5--
Wake Forest 6 ------- -3-8-- ------- ----1-- -
Arkansas 5 -4-- -1683- --211-- ----510-- ----2- -102
San Jose State 5 ---5--- -------- -------- ----
Toledo 5 ------- -------3 -----2-- ----
Vanderbilt 5 --23--- -------- -------- ----
Rutgers ------- --9½14- -------- --------
Team Total 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Northern Illinois 4 ---4--- -------- -------- ----
Wyoming 4 ------- -------- ----4--- ----
Bowling Green 3 ------- -----3-- -------- ----
Central Michigan 3 ------3 -------- -------- ----
Duke 3 --3---- -------- -------- ----
Purdue 3 ------- ----11-2 --34-2 211------ --
Oklahoma State 6--4 -1113-17 10-----4 -----2-- ------
Western Kentucky 2 2------ ------- ------- ------
Army 1 - ------ ------- -----1- ------
Iowa State 1 ------- ------- -1----- ------
Team Total 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Virginia 1 ------- -----5 -74-- -1-1 --1111- -5--3 8
Memphis 0 -1----- -----1 -------- -------
Pittsburgh 0 --- ---811 ----31 -177--- ------- --9
Fresno State --2 ------ ----84 -------- ---2---
North Carolina -4 11-- ---10-4 ------- ----141 13-6-7 57---
Arizona -6 -27---- -------- ---2222- --1-12 3---21
Colorado -7 ------- ------ -1313-1 -12--18 -393 -735212
South Florida -7 ------- -7---- -------- -------
Auburn -9½ -19 -1724--22- -153-2½ 39-2112- 8--35 -8-146 22--13 -154
California -10 - ------15 --13-1 -17--- -------1 -618--
Team Total 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Virginia Tech -11 --- -9-13 -8-3½ -1-2 116-18 -2-105 93-416 -44--- -
West Virginia -20½ --- -127-21 -16-1 -621-15 -1----15 ----18½-- --2
Ohio State -23 -35 -99-11 -30 -860 2-11-2 10--10 -17-1 -286664 -9-12
Penn State -24 --- ---9-1 13-9½-6 23--8--6 -8-2 -135-10 8-2323 -6
Washington -31 - -41---- ------14 -14112- -8-128 -3--14 -66133
Syracuse -34½ ------- -------12- --11-6½ -127--20 48-4-12
Georgia -36 -181 -22-1 -4-13½ -1112-7 3-4363 -11-110 16---3 -1279--
Clemson -37 12 1084-2 -185-5 5-94- -7-4- --7-- -1-2 -14-8 -30
Tennessee -44 1------ -80 -2-23 0-2 -213-13 -79-5 -66-10 -114-5 521
Texas A&M -47 --7-11 20½-15½7- --3--10 ---4- -2-155 6-13-11 9-5-5 4-36
Team Total 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
UCLA -50½ -14-3 10---- --11-10- ---12- -9121- -10½-10 8-133- -21
Miami-Florida -61 --- ---137 --1-14 -7-6 -2113 -36-13 -3-101 -10-23 -12
Louisiana State -65½ -3-13 -3-11½ 311-7 -17161 -1212-11 44--19 -29--- ----18
Florida -68½ 1- -1412-4 -22-2 4-7 -3½-12 -20 -2-2 -6-2 -333 -45-2 -48-
Michigan -74½ 14- -9-1614 -- --146 -22-61 1-7-5 2-713½ -6-4 -7-192 -44-6
Florida State -83½ -3-4½9 -4-194-9 5-5-16 -9-94 -17-9 -30 -11-1 -3-3 04-3 62
Notre Dame -86½ 0-8-6 20-17--6½ ---1617 --89 -1111-8 0-17 -13-4 -225 0-7 -50
Nebraska -90½ --2-8 -7-12-11 12--7-7 2-2 -18-3 -72-13 3-5115 -33-17 -4
Oklahoma -93½ 16-2210 -11-141-23 -12-3 -17-1 -2-4 -220--- --10½-13 3-7-2 0-13
Southern Cal -118 -17 -62-25 17-12-18 0-21 -1010 14--12 -10--1 -18-61 -8--11 -12-4
Texas -118 --6-17 -10--200 6-7½-10 12-8 -4-2 -50 10½-14-16 4-7- -8-15 14-6
Team Total 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on only frequently rated teams (eliminating those that only have a few years' data), see the Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Sun Belt member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Southern Cal) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)