Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. All teams rated in the preseason or final ratings in any year in the span are given. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

Team Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Oregon 80½ 3-174 123-113½ -3--13 7197--- 815-----
Boise State 79 73-610 15-21-6 141011---- ------- --
Washington State 70 ---- -----17 416---17 --5-11- --
Utah 64 ---3 24---165- ------- 16-----
Kansas State 53 1111-- -----15 -819 -14114 -6141127 6----
Texas Christian 46 -43312 19-6215- 13--2- -------- --
Boston College 44½ ---- -15½675- -35--- ---536 5---
Cincinnati 37 -1-18 99------ -------- ----
Stanford 34 13022- -------10 ----8 ---5 -1084--
Brigham Young 33 ---11 -101210-- --1--- -621-8 -4-3 -174
Team Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Mississippi 32½ ----7½ 12----13- --84-4 ----10-5 -
Alabama 30½ 0-9 18--13- -2½14- -2311- -94 -104 -11818 -119
Oregon State 30½ 6--1-2 815---- -8½22--- --------
Louisville 30 13--- --175-8 20--69- ------2- -12-
Kansas 27 ----1 -1219--- -------- 17--4---
Michigan State 26 -10912- 2------9 --19-6 -2---- --2310
South Carolina 26 354- -1---- --87---- -------
Texas Tech 23 ---5 04-6 28------ --3----- 7
Maryland 22 --3- -----4 0815-- -------- --
Northwestern 13 9--- ------- -10---- 518----- -
Team Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
North Carolina State 21 --1- ------10 14------- 9-382--
Tulane 19 ---- -------- --19----- ----
Mississippi State 16½ --511- ------- -8½213-- --2-13 ---
Miami-Ohio 16 ---- -----16-- -------- ----
Southern Miss 16 -6-- -------- -412-5 7------- -
Colorado State 15 ---- -------- 12--136- -10-----
East Carolina 15 ---- ------- -2---- -----17- -
Nevada-Reno 15 --15- -------- -------- ----
Minnesota 14 ---- -----6-- -8------ ----
Houston 12 -8-- ------- -------- ---613 -3
Team Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Georgia Tech 11½ ---63 4------ -149-7 16½1----- -1924-
Iowa 11½ ---1512½ 6--11-14 111818---- -511-- -1228-9
Utah State 10 10--- -------- -------- ----
Wisconsin 10 -136510 -13-17 19114-5- --19613- --2-15 20----
Baylor 10 -13-- -------- -------- -3---
Air Force 9 ---- -------- --13----- --4--
Arkansas 9 -1683- --211-- ----510-- ----2- -102
Hawaii 9 ---- -3------ -------- 6---
Marshall 9 ---- ------ -5--14- ------- --
Arizona State 7 --1-- -9½10-4 -77 -----18 1218----- --
Illinois 7 ---- -66--- --14-32 ----4 -2--- -1616
Team Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Missouri 7 --78- -1322-- -11---- -53---- ----
Tulsa 7 --2- -------- -------- -5--
Wake Forest 6 ---- -3-8-- ------- ----1-- -
Central Florida 5 --5- -------- -------- ----
San Jose State 5 5--- -------- -------- ----
Toledo 5 ---- -------3 -----2-- ----
Rutgers ---- --9½14- -------- --------
Northern Illinois 4 4--- -------- -------- ----
Wyoming 4 ---- -------- ----4--- ----
Bowling Green 3 ---- -----3-- -------- ----
Team Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Central Michigan 3 ---3 -------- -------- ----
Georgia 3 -1-4 -13½ -1112-7 3-4363 -11-110 16---3 -1279--
Purdue 3 ---- ----11-2 --34-2 211------ --
Vanderbilt 3 3--- -------- -------- ----
Auburn --22- -153-2½ 39-2112- 8--35 -8-146 22--13 -154
Navy 2 ---- ----2-- ------- ------
Army 1 ---- ------- -----1- ------
Iowa State 1 ---- ------- -1----- ------
Virginia 1 ---- -----5 -74-- -1-1 --1111- -5--3 8
Oklahoma State ½ -1113-17 10-----4 -----2-- ------
Team Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Pittsburgh 0 ---811 ----31 -177--- ------- --9
Memphis -1 ---- -----1 -------- -------
Fresno State --2 --- ----84 -------- ---2---
Colorado -7 ---- ------ -1313-1 -12--18 -393 -735212
South Florida -7 ---- -7---- -------- -------
California -10 ----15 --13-1 -17--- -------1 -618--
Arizona -11 ---- ------- ---2222- --1-12 3---21
Virginia Tech -11 -9-13 -8-3½ -1-2 116-18 -2-105 93-416 -44--- -
North Carolina -15 ---10-4 ------- ----141 13-6-7 57---
Ohio State -16 9-11 -30 -860 2-11-2 10--10 -17-1 -286664 -9-12
Team Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
West Virginia -20½ -127-21 -16-1 -621-15 -1----15 ----18½-- --2
Penn State -24 ---9-1 13-9½-6 23--8--6 -8-2 -135-10 8-2323 -6
Washington -28 ---- ------14 -14112- -8-128 -3--14 -66133
Texas A&M -29 20½-15½7- --3--10 ---4- -2-155 6-13-11 9-5-5 4-36
Syracuse -34½ ---- -------12- --11-6½ -127--20 48-4-12
UCLA -43½ ---- --11-10- ---12- -9121- -10½-10 8-133- -21
Tennessee -45 ---- -80 -2-23 0-2 -213-13 -79-5 -66-10 -114-5 521
Louisiana State -46½ -11½311-7 -17161 -1212-11 44--19 -29--- ----18
Clemson -50 84-2 -185-5 5-94- -7-4- --7-- -1-2 -14-8 -30
Florida -55½ 12-4 -22-2 4-7 -3½-12 -20 -2-2 -6-2 -333 -45-2 -48-
Team Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Miami-Florida -61 ---137 --1-14 -7-6 -2113 -36-13 -3-101 -10-23 -12
Notre Dame -72½ 20-17--6½ ---1617 --89 -1111-8 0-17 -13-4 -225 0-7 -50
Michigan -79½ -1614-- --146 -22-61 1-7-5 2-713½ -6-4 -7-192 -44-6
Nebraska -80½ -7-12-1112 --7-7 2-2 -18-3 -72-13 3-5115 -33-17 -4
Florida State -85 -4-194-9 5-5-16 -9-94 -17-9 -30 -11-1 -3-3 04-3 62
Texas -95 -10--200 6-7½-10 12-8 -4-2 -50 10½-14-16 4-7- -8-15 14-6
Southern Cal -97 -2517-12-18 0-21 -1010 14--12 -10--1 -18-61 -8--11 -12-4
Oklahoma -97½ -11-141-23 -12-3 -17-1 -2-4 -220--- --10½-13 3-7-2 0-13
Team Total 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on only frequently rated teams (eliminating those that only have a few years' data), see the Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Big West member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Nebraska) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)