Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. All teams rated in the preseason or final ratings in any year in the span are given. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

Team Total 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Boise State 78 10-6 73-610 15-21-6 141011---- ------- --
Oregon 74½ 1-7 3-174 123-113½ -3--13 7197--- 815-----
Washington State 70 ------ -----17 416---17 --5-11- --
Utah 69 5----3 24---165- ------- 16-----
Texas Christian 62 23-7 -43312 19-6215- 13--2- -------- --
Kansas State 56 3-1111-- -----15 -819 -14114 -6141127 6----
Michigan State 49½ 20-10912- 2------9 --19-6 -2---- --2310
Boston College 44½ ------ -15½675- -35--- ---536 5---
Missouri 40 1221 --78- -1322-- -11---- -53---- ----
Cincinnati 37 ---1-18 99------ -------- ----
Team Total 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Brigham Young 33 -----11 -101210-- --1--- -621-8 -4-3 -174
Mississippi 32½ 0- ----7½ 12----13- --84-4 ----10-5 -
Louisville 32 2 013--- --175-8 20--69- ------2- -12-
Mississippi State 31½ 15- --511- ------- -8½213-- --2-13 ---
Oregon State 30½ -- 6--1-2 815---- -8½22--- --------
Georgia Tech 29½ 18- ---63 4------ -149-7 16½1----- -1924-
Kansas 27 - -----1 -1219--- -------- 17--4---
Baylor 26 412-13-- -------- -------- -3---
Arizona State 25 13 5--1-- -9½10-4 -77 -----18 1218----- --
Texas Tech 23 -----5 04-6 28------ --3----- 7
Team Total 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Alabama 22½ -2-6 0-9 18--13- -2½14- -2311- -94 -104 -11818 -119
Maryland 22 ----3- -----4 0815-- -------- --
Central Florida 21 -16--5- -------- -------- ----
North Carolina State 21 ----1- ------10 14------- 9-382--
Northwestern 20 --29--- ------- -10---- 518----- -
Tulane 19 ------ -------- --19----- ----
Miami-Ohio 16 ------ -----16-- -------- ----
Southern Miss 16 ---6-- -------- -412-5 7------- -
Colorado State 15 ------ -------- 12--136- -10-----
East Carolina 15 ------ ------- -2---- -----17- -
Team Total 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Nevada-Reno 15 ----15- -------- -------- ----
Minnesota 14 ------ -----6-- -8------ ----
Stanford 14 -14 -6 13022- -------10 ----8 ---5 -1084--
Houston 12 ---8-- ------- -------- ---613 -3
Wisconsin 12 20 -136510 -13-17 19114-5- --19613- --2-15 20----
Iowa 11½ -- ---1512½ 6--11-14 111818---- -511-- -1228-9
South Carolina 10 -182354- -1---- --87---- -------
Utah State 10 --10--- -------- -------- ----
Auburn -1724--22- -153-2½ 39-2112- 8--35 -8-146 22--13 -154
Air Force 9 ------ -------- --13----- --4--
Team Total 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Arkansas 9 -- -1683- --211-- ----510-- ----2- -102
Hawaii 9 ------ -3------ -------- 6---
Marshall 9 0---- ------- -5--14- ------- --
Illinois 7 ------ -66--- --14-32 ----4 -2--- -1616
Tulsa 7 ----2- -------- -------- -5--
Wake Forest 6 ------ -3-8-- ------- ----1-- -
San Jose State 5 --5--- -------- -------- ----
Toledo 5 ------ -------3 -----2-- ----
Vanderbilt 5 -23--- -------- -------- ----
Rutgers ------ --9½14- -------- --------
Team Total 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Northern Illinois 4 --4--- -------- -------- ----
Wyoming 4 ------ -------- ----4--- ----
Bowling Green 3 ------ -----3-- -------- ----
Central Michigan 3 -----3 -------- -------- ----
Duke 3 -3---- -------- -------- ----
Purdue 3 ------ ----11-2 --34-2 211------ --
Navy 2 ------ ----2-- ------- ------
Army 1 ------ ------- -----1- ------
Iowa State 1 ------ ------- -1----- ------
Virginia 1 ------ -----5 -74-- -1-1 --1111- -5--3 8
Team Total 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Memphis 0 1----- -----1 -------- -------
Pittsburgh 0 -- ---811 ----31 -177--- ------- --9
Fresno State --2 ----- ----84 -------- ---2---
Oklahoma State -3½ --4 -1113-17 10-----4 -----2-- ------
Arizona -4 7----- ------- ---2222- --1-12 3---21
Colorado -7 ------ ------ -1313-1 -12--18 -393 -735212
South Florida -7 ------ -7---- -------- -------
California -10 ------15 --13-1 -17--- -------1 -618--
Virginia Tech -11 -- -9-13 -8-3½ -1-2 116-18 -2-105 93-416 -44--- -
North Carolina -15 -- ---10-4 ------- ----141 13-6-7 57---
Team Total 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Georgia -18 1 -22-1 -4-13½ -1112-7 3-4363 -11-110 16---3 -1279--
Ohio State -20 5 -99-11 -30 -860 2-11-2 10--10 -17-1 -286664 -9-12
West Virginia -20½ -- -127-21 -16-1 -621-15 -1----15 ----18½-- --2
Penn State -24 -- ---9-1 13-9½-6 23--8--6 -8-2 -135-10 8-2323 -6
Washington -31 -41---- ------14 -14112- -8-128 -3--14 -66133
Syracuse -34½ ------ -------12- --11-6½ -127--20 48-4-12
UCLA -36½ -3 10---- --11-10- ---12- -9121- -10½-10 8-133- -21
Tennessee -45 ------ -80 -2-23 0-2 -213-13 -79-5 -66-10 -114-5 521
Texas A&M -47 -7-11 20½-15½7- --3--10 ---4- -2-155 6-13-11 9-5-5 4-36
Clemson -49 1084-2 -185-5 5-94- -7-4- --7-- -1-2 -14-8 -30
Team Total 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Miami-Florida -61 -- ---137 --1-14 -7-6 -2113 -36-13 -3-101 -10-23 -12
Louisiana State -62½ -13-3 -11½311-7 -17161 -1212-11 44--19 -29--- ----18
Florida -69½ - -1412-4 -22-2 4-7 -3½-12 -20 -2-2 -6-2 -333 -45-2 -48-
Florida State -80½ -4½9 -4-194-9 5-5-16 -9-94 -17-9 -30 -11-1 -3-3 04-3 62
Notre Dame -86½ -8-6 20-17--6½ ---1617 --89 -1111-8 0-17 -13-4 -225 0-7 -50
Michigan -88½ - -9-1614 -- --146 -22-61 1-7-5 2-713½ -6-4 -7-192 -44-6
Nebraska -90½ -2-8 -7-12-1112 --7-7 2-2 -18-3 -72-13 3-5115 -33-17 -4
Southern Cal -101 -62-25 17-12-18 0-21 -1010 14--12 -10--1 -18-61 -8--11 -12-4
Oklahoma -109½ -2210 -11-141-23 -12-3 -17-1 -2-4 -220--- --10½-13 3-7-2 0-13
Texas -118 -6-17 -10--200 6-7½-10 12-8 -4-2 -50 10½-14-16 4-7- -8-15 14-6
Team Total 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on only frequently rated teams (eliminating those that only have a few years' data), see the Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Sun Belt member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Southern Cal) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)