Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. All teams rated in the preseason or final ratings in any year in the span are given. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

Team Total 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Utah 81 -3 95----3 24---165- ------- 16-----
Boise State 75 4--710 -67-2 -61015-21 -6141011- -------- ----
Washington State 65 -5-- ------ -----17 416---17 --5-11- --
Texas Christian 59½ 14½-13 -423-7 -43312 19-6215- 13--2- -------- --
Oregon 58½ --2 -141-7 3-174 123-113½ -3--13 7197--- 815-----
Kansas State 53½ -2½ - -3-1111-- -----15 -819 -14114 -6141127 6----
Michigan State 46½ 11-140 20-10912- 2------9 --19-6 -2---- --2310
Boston College 44½ --------- -15½675- -35--- ---536 5---
Central Florida 41 20 ---16--5- -------- -------- ----
Missouri 39 ---11221 --78- -1322-- -11---- -53---- ----
Team Total 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Mississippi State 38½ 7--15- --511- ------- -8½213-- --2-13 ---
Cincinnati 37 - -----1-18 99------ -------- ----
Brigham Young 33 -- ------11 -101210-- --1--- -621-8 -4-3 -174
Northwestern 32 9-3 --29--- ------- -10---- 518----- -
Oregon State 30½ ----- 6--1-2 815---- -8½22--- --------
Wisconsin 30 217 -120 -136510 -13-17 19114-5- --19613- --2-15 20----
Kansas 27 ---- -----1 -1219--- -------- 17--4---
Louisville 25 -81-2 013--- --175-8 20--69- ------2- -12-
North Carolina State 24 3------1- ------10 14------- 9-382--
Houston 23 --7 18---8-- ------- -------- ---613 -3
Team Total 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Texas Tech 23 - -------5 04-6 28------ --3----- 7
Alabama 22½ --11 -2-6 0-9 18--13- -2½14- -2311- -94 -104 -11818 -119
Mississippi 22½ --15 50- ----7½ 12----13- --84-4 ----10-5 -
Maryland 22 - ------3- -----4 0815-- -------- --
Georgia Tech 20½ ---918- ---63 4------ -149-7 16½1----- -1924-
Iowa 20½ --817-- ---1512½ 6--11-14 111818---- -511-- -1228-9
Stanford 20½ -6½-215 -14-6 13022- -------10 ----8 ---5 -1084--
Tulane 19 - -------- -------- --19----- ----
Miami-Ohio 16 - -------- -----16-- -------- ----
Southern Miss 16 - -----6-- -------- -412-5 7------- -
Team Total 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Arizona State 15 ---1013 5--1-- -9½10-4 -77 -----18 1218----- --
Colorado State 15 - -------- -------- 12--136- -10-----
East Carolina 15 - -------- ------- -2---- -----17- -
Nevada-Reno 15 - ------15- -------- -------- ----
Minnesota 14 - -------- -----6-- -8------ ----
Western Michigan 11 -11 ------- ------- ------- ------
Navy 10 -- 8------ ----2-- ------- ------
South Carolina 10 --- -182354- -1---- --87---- -------
Utah State 10 - ----10--- -------- -------- ----
Oklahoma State -296--4 -1113-17 10-----4 -----2-- ------
Team Total 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Air Force 9 - -------- -------- --13----- --4--
Hawaii 9 - -------- -3------ -------- 6---
Marshall 9 --- 0---- ------- -5--14- ------- --
Baylor 8 --9 -9412-13- --------- -------- -3---
Illinois 7 --------- -66--- --14-32 ----4 -2--- -1616
Tulsa 7 - ------2- -------- -------- -5--
Wake Forest 6 -- ------- -3-8-- ------- ----1-- -
Arkansas 5 ---4-- -1683- --211-- ----510-- ----2- -102
San Jose State 5 - ----5--- -------- -------- ----
Toledo 5 - -------- -------3 -----2-- ----
Team Total 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Vanderbilt 5 - ---23--- -------- -------- ----
Rutgers - -------- --9½14- -------- --------
Northern Illinois 4 - ----4--- -------- -------- ----
Wyoming 4 - -------- -------- ----4--- ----
Bowling Green 3 - -------- -----3-- -------- ----
Central Michigan 3 - -------3 -------- -------- ----
Duke 3 - ---3---- -------- -------- ----
Purdue 3 - -------- ----11-2 --34-2 211------ --
Colorado 2 - 9------- ------ -1313-1 -12--18 -393 -735212
Western Kentucky 2 - -2------ ------- ------- ------
Team Total 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Army 1 -------- -------- -----1- ------
Iowa State 1 -- ------- ------- -1----- ------
Memphis 1 1 --1----- -----1 -------- -------
San Diego State 1 -1 ------- ------- ------- ------
Virginia 1 -- ------- -----5 -74-- -1-1 --1111- -5--3 8
Pittsburgh 0 ----- ---811 ----31 -177--- ------- --9
South Florida -1 -1 7------- -7---- -------- -------
Fresno State -2 --------- ----84 -------- ---2---
Penn State -5 019--- ---9-1 13-9½-6 23--8--6 -8-2 -135-10 8-2323 -6
Arizona -6 -- -27---- -------- ---2222- --1-12 3---21
Team Total 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Virginia Tech -6 -510--- -9-13 -8-3½ -1-2 116-18 -2-105 93-416 -44--- -
North Carolina -7 --311-- ---10-4 ------- ----141 13-6-7 57---
Auburn -7½ 02-19 -1724--22- -153-2½ 39-2112- 8--35 -8-146 22--13 -154
California -10 --- ------15 --13-1 -17--- -------1 -618--
West Virginia -12½ -8--- -127-21 -16-1 -621-15 -1----15 ----18½-- --2
Ohio State -28 -3 -2-35 -99-11 -30 -860 2-11-2 10--10 -17-1 -286664 -9-12
Washington -31 -1212- -41---- ------14 -14112- -8-128 -3--14 -66133
Clemson -33 3112 1084-2 -185-5 5-94- -7-4- --7-- -1-2 -14-8 -30
Georgia -33 14 -11-181 -22-1 -4-13½ -1112-7 3-4363 -11-110 16---3 -1279--
Syracuse -34½ --------- -------12- --11-6½ -127--20 48-4-12
Team Total 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Texas A&M -47 -- --7-11 20½-15½7- --3--10 ---4- -2-155 6-13-11 9-5-5 4-36
Miami-Florida -51 46--- ---137 --1-14 -7-6 -2113 -36-13 -3-101 -10-23 -12
UCLA -55½ --5 -14-3 10---- --11-10- ---12- -9121- -10½-10 8-133- -21
Tennessee -60 -1-15 1------ -80 -2-23 0-2 -213-13 -79-5 -66-10 -114-5 521
Florida -67½ -11121- -1412-4 -22-2 4-7 -3½-12 -20 -2-2 -6-2 -333 -45-2 -48-
Louisiana State -79½ -7-7 -3-13 -3-11½ 311-7 -17161 -1212-11 44--19 -29--- ----18
Notre Dame -88½ 15-17 0-8-6 20-17--6½ ---1617 --89 -1111-8 0-17 -13-4 -225 0-7 -50
Michigan -89 -12½-214- -9-1614 -- --146 -22-61 1-7-5 2-713½ -6-4 -7-192 -44-6
Nebraska -91½ --1 --2-8 -7-12-11 12--7-7 2-2 -18-3 -72-13 3-5115 -33-17 -4
Oklahoma -92½ 3-216-2210 -11-141-23 -12-3 -17-1 -2-4 -220--- --10½-13 3-7-2 0-13
Team Total 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Florida State -110½ -23-3 -4-4½9 -4-194-9 5-5-16 -9-94 -17-9 -30 -11-1 -3-3 04-3 62
Southern Cal -114 -711-17 -62-25 17-12-18 0-21 -1010 14--12 -10--1 -18-61 -8--11 -12-4
Texas -122 -4 ---6-17 -10--200 6-7½-10 12-8 -4-2 -50 10½-14-16 4-7- -8-15 14-6
Team Total 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on only frequently rated teams (eliminating those that only have a few years' data), see the Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Sun Belt member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Southern Cal) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)