Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. All teams rated in the preseason or final ratings in any year in the span are given. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Washington State 70 - - - - 17 4 16 - - - 17 - - 5 - 11 - - -
Oregon 55½ 3 -1 13½ -3 - -13 7 19 7 - - - 8 15 - - - - -
Boise State 50 - 21 -6 14 10 11 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Boston College 44½ 15½ 6 7 5 - -3 5 - - - - - -5 3 6 5 - - -
Kansas 40 19 - - - - - - - - - - - 17 - - 4 - - -
Utah 37 - - - 16 5 - - - - - - - - 16 - - - - -
Brigham Young 32 12 10 - - - - 1 - - - -6 21 - 8 -4 - 3 -17 4
Georgia 31 12 -7 3 -4 3 6 3 -11 -1 10 16 - - -3 -12 7 9 - -
Kansas State 31 - - - -15 -8 19 -14 1 14 -6 14 1 12 7 6 - - - -
Mississippi 28 - - - - 13 - - -8 4 - 4 - - - - 10 - 5 -
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Virginia Tech 21 -1 -2 1 16 -18 -2 -10 5 9 3 - 4 16 -4 4 - - - -
North Carolina State 20 - - - - -10 14 - - - - - - - 9 -3 8 2 - -
Oregon State 19½ 1 5 - - - - -8½ 22 - - - - - - - - - - -
Maryland 19 - - - -4 0 8 15 - - - - - - - - - - - -
Missouri 19 22 - - -11 - - - - - 5 3 - - - - - - - -
Tulane 19 - - - - - - - - - 19 - - - - - - - - -
Texas Tech 18 4 -6 2 8 - - - - - - - - 3 - - - - - 7
Arizona State 17½ 10 -4 -7 7 - - - - -18 12 18 - - - - - - -
Louisville 17 -17 5 -8 20 - -6 9 - - - - - - - 2 - 12 - -
Miami-Ohio 16 - - - - 16 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Colorado State 15 - - - - - - - 12 - -13 6 - - 10 - - - - -
East Carolina 15 - - - - - - -2 - - - - - - - - - 17 - -
South Carolina 15 - - - - - - 8 7 - - - - - - - - - - -
Wisconsin 15 -17 19 11 4 -5 - - -19 6 13 - - -2 -15 20 - - - -
Alabama 14½ - - 13 - -2½ 14 - -23 11 - -9 4 -10 4 -11 8 18 -11 9
Arkansas 14 -2 11 - - - - - - 5 10 - - - - - -2 - -10 2
Minnesota 14 - - - - 6 - - - 8 - - - - - - - - - -
Mississippi State 13½ - - - - - - -5½ 2 13 - - - - 2 -1 3 - - -
Illinois 13 6 - - - - - 14 -3 2 - - - -4 -2 - - - -16 16
Michigan State 13 - - - - - -9 - - 19 -6 -2 - - - - - -2 3 10
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Northwestern 13 - - - - - - -10 - - - - 5 18 - - - - - -
Texas Christian 12 -6 2 15 - - 3 - -2 - - - - - - - - - - -
Georgia Tech 10½ - - - - - - -14 9 -7 16½ 1 - - - - - -19 24 -
Southern Miss 10 - - - - - - - -4 12 -5 7 - - - - - - - -
Air Force 9 - - - - - - - - - 13 - - - - - - -4 - -
Cincinnati 9 9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Hawaii 9 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 6 - - -
Marshall 9 - - - - - -5 - - 14 - - - - - - - - - -
Wake Forest 9 - 8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1 - - -
Iowa 8 - -11 -14 11 18 18 - - - - -5 1 1 - - -12 2 8 -9
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
California 5 -13 -1 -1 7 - - - - - - - - - - 1 -6 18 - -
Toledo 5 - - - - - - 3 - - - - - 2 - - - - - -
Tulsa 5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 5 - -
Rutgers -9½ 14 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Houston 4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -6 13 -3
Wyoming 4 - - - - - - - - - - - 4 - - - - - - -
Bowling Green 3 - - - - 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Purdue 3 - - -11 - 2 - -3 4 -2 2 11 - - - - - - - -
Navy 2 - - - 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
West Virginia -1 -6 21 -15 - 1 - - - -15 - - - - 18½ - - - -2
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Army 1 - - - - - - - - - - - 1 - - - - - - -
Iowa State 1 - - - - - - - 1 - - - - - - - - - - -
Virginia 1 - - - -5 -7 4 - - -1 -1 - -1 1 11 - -5 - -3 8
Memphis -1 - - - -1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
North Carolina -1 - - - - - - - - - -14 1 13 -6 -7 5 7 - - -
Fresno State -2 - - -8 4 - - - - - - - - - - - 2 - - -
Oklahoma State -2 - - - - -4 - - - - - 2 - - - - - - - -
Stanford -2 - - - - - - 10 - - - -8 - - -5 -11 8 4 - -
Baylor -3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -3 - - -
Ohio State -3 6 0 2 -11 -2 10 - -10 -17 -1 -2 8 6 6 6 4 -9 -1 2
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Pittsburgh -3 - - -3 1 -17 7 - - - - - - - - - - - - 9
Auburn -4½ 3 -2½ 3 9 -21 12 - 8 - -3 5 -8 -14 6 22 - -13 -15 4
Colorado -7 - - - - - -13 13 -1 -12 - -18 -3 9 3 -7 3 5 2 12
Arizona -11 - - - - - - - - -22 22 - - -1 -12 3 - - -2 1
Louisiana State -25 1 6 1 -12 12 -11 4 4 - -19 -2 9 - - - - - - -18
Penn State -27 -9½ -6 23 - - 8 - -6 -8 -2 -13 5 -10 8 -23 2 3 -6
Washington -28 - - - - -14 -14 1 12 - -8 -12 8 -3 - -14 -6 6 13 3
Syracuse -34½ - - - - - - 12 - - -11 -6½ -12 7 - -20 4 8 -4 -12
Tennessee -37 0 -2 -23 0 -2 -21 3 -13 -7 9 -5 -6 6 -10 -1 14 -5 5 21
Texas A&M -41 -3 - -10 - - -4 - -2 -15 5 6 -13 -11 9 -5 -5 4 -3 6
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Florida -43½ -7 -3½ -12 -20 -2 -2 -6 -2 -3 3 3 -4 5 -2 -4 8 -
UCLA -43½ -11 - 10 - - - -12 - -9 1 21 - -10½ -10 8 -13 3 - -21
Clemson -45 5 -5 5 -9 4 - -7 -4 - - -7 - - -1 -2 -14 -8 -2 0
Oklahoma -49½ 2 -3 -17 -1 -2 -4 -2 20 - - - - -10½ -13 3 -7 -2 0 -13
Miami-Florida -55 -1 -14 -7 -6 -2 1 1 3 -3 6 -13 -3 -10 1 -10 -2 3 -1 2
Southern Cal -59 -2 1 -1 0 10 14 - -12 -10 - -1 -18 -6 1 -8 - -11 -12 -4
Florida State -62 -5 -16 -9 -9 4 -17 -9 -3 0 -1 1 -1 -3 -3 0 4 -3 6 2
Nebraska -62½ -7 -7 2 -2 -18 -3 -7 2 -13 3 -5 1 1 5 -3 3 -17 -4
Notre Dame -69 - -16 17 - -8 9 -11 11 -8 0 -17 -13 -4 -22 5 0 -7 -5 0
Texas -71 -7½ -10 1 2 -8 -4 -2 -5 0 10½ -14 -16 4 -7 - -8 -15 14 -6
Michigan -77½ -14 6 -22 -6 1 1 -7 -5 2 -7 13½ -6 -4 -7 -19 2 -4 4 -6
Team Total 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on only frequently rated teams (eliminating those that only have a few years' data), see the Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Big West member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Nebraska) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)