Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. All teams rated in the preseason or final ratings in any year in the span are given. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

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Team Total 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Utah 81 --3 95----3 24---165- ------- 16-----
Washington State 81 --5-- ------ -----17 416---17 --5-11- --
Boise State 71 -4 4--710 -67-2 -61015-21 -6141011- -------- ----
Oregon 58½ -1½--2 -141-7 3-174 123-113½ -3--13 7197--- 815-----
Central Florida 54½ 13½20 ---16--5- -------- -------- ----
Kansas State 53½ --2½- -3-1111-- -----15 -819 -14114 -6141127 6----
Texas Christian 52½ -714½-13 -423-7 -43312 19-6215- 13--2- -------- --
Boston College 44½ - --------- -15½675- -35--- ---536 5---
Cincinnati 39 2- -----1-18 99------ -------- ----
Missouri 39 - ---11221 --78- -1322-- -11---- -53---- ----
Team Total 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Northwestern 37 59-3 --29--- ------- -10---- 518----- -
Brigham Young 33 --- ------11 -101210-- --1--- -621-8 -4-3 -174
Michigan State 31½ -15 11-140 20-10912- 2------9 --19-6 -2---- --2310
Oregon State 30½ ------ 6--1-2 815---- -8½22--- --------
Mississippi State 28½ -107--15- --511- ------- -8½213-- --2-13 ---
Kansas 27 ----- -----1 -1219--- -------- 17--4---
North Carolina State 27 - 3------1- ------10 14------- 9-382--
Louisville 25 --81-2 013--- --175-8 20--69- ------2- -12-
Houston 23 ---7 18---8-- ------- -------- ---613 -3
Texas Tech 23 -- -------5 04-6 28------ --3----- 7
Team Total 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Alabama 22½ 0 0-11 -2-6 0-9 18--13- -2½14- -2311- -94 -104 -11818 -119
Mississippi 22½ ---15 50- ----7½ 12----13- --84-4 ----10-5 -
Maryland 22 -- ------3- -----4 0815-- -------- --
Iowa 21½ 1--817-- ---1512½ 6--11-14 111818---- -511-- -1228-9
Georgia Tech 20½ ----918- ---63 4------ -149-7 16½1----- -1924-
Tulane 19 -- -------- -------- --19----- ----
Miami-Ohio 16 -- -------- -----16-- -------- ----
Southern Miss 16 -- -----6-- -------- -412-5 7------- -
Arizona State 15 ----1013 5--1-- -9½10-4 -77 -----18 1218----- --
Colorado State 15 -- -------- -------- 12--136- -10-----
Team Total 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
East Carolina 15 -- -------- ------- -2---- -----17- -
Nevada-Reno 15 -- ------15- -------- -------- ----
Kentucky 14 14- -------- -------- -------- ----
Minnesota 14 -- -------- -----6-- -8------ ----
Utah State 14 4- ----10--- -------- -------- ----
Western Michigan 11 --11 ------- ------- ------- ------
Navy 10 --- 8------ ----2-- ------- ------
South Carolina 10 ---- -182354- -1---- --87---- -------
Wisconsin 10 -20217 -120 -136510 -13-17 19114-5- --19613- --2-15 20----
Oklahoma State - -296--4 -1113-17 10-----4 -----2-- ------
Team Total 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Air Force 9 -- -------- -------- --13----- --4--
Hawaii 9 -- -------- -3------ -------- 6---
Marshall 9 ---- 0---- ------- -5--14- ------- --
Stanford -12 -6½-215 -14-6 13022- -------10 ----8 ---5 -1084--
Army 8 7 -------- -------- -----1- ------
Baylor 8 ---9 -9412-13- --------- -------- -3---
Illinois 7 - --------- -66--- --14-32 ----4 -2--- -1616
Tulsa 7 -- ------2- -------- -------- -5--
Fresno State 6 8 --------- ----84 -------- ---2---
Wake Forest 6 --- ------- -3-8-- ------- ----1-- -
Team Total 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Arkansas 5 - ---4-- -1683- --211-- ----510-- ----2- -102
San Jose State 5 -- ----5--- -------- -------- ----
Toledo 5 -- -------- -------3 -----2-- ----
Vanderbilt 5 -- ---23--- -------- -------- ----
Rutgers -- -------- --9½14- -------- --------
Northern Illinois 4 -- ----4--- -------- -------- ----
Wyoming 4 -- -------- -------- ----4--- ----
Bowling Green 3 -- -------- -----3-- -------- ----
Central Michigan 3 -- -------3 -------- -------- ----
Duke 3 -- ---3---- -------- -------- ----
Team Total 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Purdue 3 -- -------- ----11-2 --34-2 211------ --
Colorado 2 -- 9------- ------ -1313-1 -12--18 -393 -735212
Western Kentucky 2 -- -2------ ------- ------- ------
Iowa State 1 --- ------- ------- -1----- ------
Memphis 1 -1 --1----- -----1 -------- -------
San Diego State 1 --1 ------- ------- ------- ------
Virginia 1 --- ------- -----5 -74-- -1-1 --1111- -5--3 8
Pittsburgh 0 ------ ---811 ----31 -177--- ------- --9
UNRANKED 0 ------- -------- -------- -------
South Florida -1 --1 7------- -7---- -------- -------
Team Total 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Arizona -6 --- -27---- -------- ---2222- --1-12 3---21
West Virginia -6½ 6-8--- -127-21 -16-1 -621-15 -1----15 ----18½-- --2
North Carolina -7 ---311-- ---10-4 ------- ----141 13-6-7 57---
Virginia Tech -9 -3 -510--- -9-13 -8-3½ -1-2 116-18 -2-105 93-416 -44--- -
California -10 ---- ------15 --13-1 -17--- -------1 -618--
Penn State -10 -5 019--- ---9-1 13-9½-6 23--8--6 -8-2 -135-10 8-2323 -6
Syracuse -23½ 11 --------- -------12- --11-6½ -127--20 48-4-12
Auburn -26½ -19 02-19 -1724--22- -153-2½ 39-2112- 8--35 -8-146 22--13 -154
Ohio State -28 0-3 -2-35 -99-11 -30 -860 2-11-2 10--10 -17-1 -286664 -9-12
Clemson -33 03112 1084-2 -185-5 5-94- -7-4- --7-- -1-2 -14-8 -30
Team Total 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Georgia -36½ 14 -3½ -11-181 -22-1 -4-13½ -1112-7 3-4363 -11-110 16---3 -1279--
Texas A&M -37 10-- --7-11 20½-15½7- --3--10 ---4- -2-155 6-13-11 9-5-5 4-36
Washington -39 -8-1212- -41---- ------14 -14112- -8-128 -3--14 -66133
Florida -54 13½ -11121- -1412-4 -22-2 4-7 -3½-12 -20 -2-2 -6-2 -333 -45-2 -48-
UCLA -55½ ---5 -14-3 10---- --11-10- ---12- -9121- -10½-10 8-133- -21
Tennessee -60 - -1-15 1------ -80 -2-23 0-2 -213-13 -79-5 -66-10 -114-5 521
Louisiana State -65½ 14 -7-7 -3-13 -3-11½ 311-7 -17161 -1212-11 44--19 -29--- ----18
Miami-Florida -67 -1646--- ---137 --1-14 -7-6 -2113 -36-13 -3-101 -10-23 -12
Notre Dame -80½ 815-17 0-8-6 20-17--6½ ---1617 --89 -1111-8 0-17 -13-4 -225 0-7 -50
Oklahoma -88½ 4 3-216-2210 -11-141-23 -12-3 -17-1 -2-4 -220--- --10½-13 3-7-2 0-13
Team Total 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Nebraska -91½ ---1 --2-8 -7-12-11 12--7-7 2-2 -18-3 -72-13 3-5115 -33-17 -4
Michigan -94 -5 -12½-214- -9-1614 -- --146 -22-61 1-7-5 2-713½ -6-4 -7-192 -44-6
Texas -114 8-4 ---6-17 -10--200 6-7½-10 12-8 -4-2 -50 10½-14-16 4-7- -8-15 14-6
Florida State -118½ -8-23-3 -4-4½9 -4-194-9 5-5-16 -9-94 -17-9 -30 -11-1 -3-3 04-3 62
Southern Cal -125 -11 -711-17 -62-25 17-12-18 0-21 -1010 14--12 -10--1 -18-61 -8--11 -12-4
Team Total 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on only frequently rated teams (eliminating those that only have a few years' data), see the Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Sun Belt member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Southern Cal) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)