Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. All teams rated in the preseason or final ratings in any year in the span are given. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

Team Total 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Boise State 75 10 15-21-6 141011---- ------- --
Oregon 71½ 4 123-113½ -3--13 7197--- 815-----
Washington State 70 - -----17 416---17 --5-11- --
Utah 64 3 24---165- ------- 16-----
Boston College 44½ - -15½675- -35--- ---536 5---
Texas Christian 44 12 19-6215- 13--2- -------- --
Alabama 38 18--13- -2½14- -2311- -94 -104 -11818 -119
Cincinnati 36 18 99------ -------- ----
Brigham Young 33 11 -101210-- --1--- -621-8 -4-3 -174
Mississippi 32½ -7½ 12----13- --84-4 ----10-5 -
Team Total 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Kansas State 31 - -----15 -819 -14114 -6141127 6----
Kansas 27 -1 -1219--- -------- 17--4---
Iowa 26½ 12½ 6--11-14 111818---- -511-- -1228-9
Oregon State 25½ -2 815---- -8½22--- --------
Texas Tech 23 5 04-6 28------ --3----- 7
North Carolina State 20 - ------10 14------- 9-382--
Maryland 19 - -----4 0815-- -------- --
Tulane 19 - -------- --19----- ----
Virginia Tech 19 -3½ -1-2 116-18 -2-105 93-416 -44--- -
Georgia Tech 17½ 3 4------ -149-7 16½1----- -1924-
Team Total 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Louisville 17 - --175-8 20--69- ------2- -12-
Miami-Ohio 16 - -----16-- -------- ----
Colorado State 15 - -------- 12--136- -10-----
East Carolina 15 - ------- -2---- -----17- -
Michigan State 15 - 2------9 --19-6 -2---- --2310
Arkansas 14 - --211-- ----510-- ----2- -102
Minnesota 14 - -----6-- -8------ ----
South Carolina 14 - -1---- --87---- -------
Northwestern 13 - ------- -10---- 518----- -
Wisconsin 12 10 -13-17 19114-5- --19613- --2-15 20----
Team Total 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Mississippi State 10½ - ------- -8½213-- --2-13 ---
Southern Miss 10 - -------- -412-5 7------- -
Air Force 9 - -------- --13----- --4--
Hawaii 9 - -3------ -------- 6---
Marshall 9 - ------ -5--14- ------- --
Arizona State 8 - -9½10-4 -77 -----18 1218----- --
Pittsburgh 8 11 ----31 -177--- ------- --9
Illinois 7 - -66--- --14-32 ----4 -2--- -1616
Georgia -13½ -1112-7 3-4363 -11-110 16---3 -1279--
Missouri 6 - -1322-- -11---- -53---- ----
Team Total 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Wake Forest 6 - -3-8-- ------- ----1-- -
Toledo 5 - -------3 -----2-- ----
Tulsa 5 - -------- -------- -5--
Rutgers - --9½14- -------- --------
Houston 4 - ------- -------- ---613 -3
Wyoming 4 - -------- ----4--- ----
Bowling Green 3 - -----3-- -------- ----
Central Michigan 3 3 -------- -------- ----
Purdue 3 - ----11-2 --34-2 211------ --
Navy 2 - ----2-- ------- ------
Team Total 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Army 1 - ------- -----1- ------
Iowa State 1 - ------- -1----- ------
Virginia 1 - -----5 -74-- -1-1 --1111- -5--3 8
Memphis -1 - -----1 -------- -------
Stanford -1 - -------10 ----8 ---5 -1084--
Fresno State -2 - ----84 -------- ---2---
Baylor -3 - -------- -------- -3---
North Carolina -5 -4 ------- ----141 13-6-7 57---
Colorado -7 - ------ -1313-1 -12--18 -393 -735212
South Florida -7 - -7---- -------- -------
Team Total 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Oklahoma State -9 -17 10-----4 -----2-- ------
California -10 -15 --13-1 -17--- -------1 -618--
Arizona -11 - ------- ---2222- --1-12 3---21
Ohio State -11 0 -860 2-11-2 10--10 -17-1 -286664 -9-12
West Virginia -13½ 1 -16-1 -621-15 -1----15 ----18½-- --2
Penn State -15 -1 13-9½-6 23--8--6 -8-2 -135-10 8-2323 -6
Auburn -19½ - -153-2½ 39-2112- 8--35 -8-146 22--13 -154
Washington -28 - ------14 -14112- -8-128 -3--14 -66133
Syracuse -34½ - -------12- --11-6½ -127--20 48-4-12
Texas A&M -41 - --3--10 ---4- -2-155 6-13-11 9-5-5 4-36
Team Total 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Florida -41½ -2 4-7 -3½-12 -20 -2-2 -6-2 -333 -45-2 -48-
UCLA -43½ - --11-10- ---12- -9121- -10½-10 8-133- -21
Tennessee -45 - -80 -2-23 0-2 -213-13 -79-5 -66-10 -114-5 521
Miami-Florida -48 7 --1-14 -7-6 -2113 -36-13 -3-101 -10-23 -12
Louisiana State -49 -7 -17161 -1212-11 44--19 -29--- ----18
Nebraska -50½ 12 --7-7 2-2 -18-3 -72-13 3-5115 -33-17 -4
Clemson -62 2 -185-5 5-94- -7-4- --7-- -1-2 -14-8 -30
Texas -65 0 6-7½-10 12-8 -4-2 -50 10½-14-16 4-7- -8-15 14-6
Florida State -66 -9 5-5-16 -9-94 -17-9 -30 -11-1 -3-3 04-3 62
Oklahoma -73½ -23 -12-3 -17-1 -2-4 -220--- --10½-13 3-7-2 0-13
Team Total 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Notre Dame -75½ -6½ ---1617 --89 -1111-8 0-17 -13-4 -225 0-7 -50
Southern Cal -77 -18 0-21 -1010 14--12 -10--1 -18-61 -8--11 -12-4
Michigan -77½ - --146 -22-61 1-7-5 2-713½ -6-4 -7-192 -44-6

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on only frequently rated teams (eliminating those that only have a few years' data), see the Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Big West member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Nebraska) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)