Preseason magazine review notes
This year, the magazines are rated in several separate categories (for
example: past prediction accuracy, quality of information, quantity of
information). The categories are assigned various weights, and the weighted
ratings are combined into a total score. The total score is turned into an
overall rating. The overall ratings are computed partially "on a curve." (For
that reason, the overall score of a magazine depends on the distribution of
weighted totals of all magazines. Thus, there is not a simple mathematical
formula to derive the overall score from the individual scores of a single
magazine.)
Note: I grade the magazines on the features which are
important to me. This does not mean that the same features will be important
to you. Hopefully the reviews (especially the detailed information on each
magazine) supply enough information that you can pick out the magazines that
you will like best -- even if your priorities do not match mine.
In the first table (ratings) the magazines are rated in several
categories. Each category is scored zero to four stars.
- Pred Acc - The accuracy of predictions in previous years, scored
relative to other magazines' predictions. My "accuracy" assessments of conference
predictions are the source of this rating. Accuracy over a period of several
years is used in preference to just the previous year's data, if the given
magazine has been around for that long. [Weighting: High]
- Info Qual. - The quality of per-team information presented. In
order to earn a top rating, the magazine's information must be:
- DETAILED: The best magazines pack a large quantity of useful and
relevant information into each paragraph. The worst magazines consist mostly
of generic "fluff" -- lots of words but little real content.
- CORRECT: The best magazines contain no (or at least very few)
false statements. The worst magazines may have a very large number of minor
errors (e.g., getting players' names wrong) or even several major errors
(e.g., omitting one or more teams from a conference).
- CURRENT: The best magazines account for the results of spring
football. The worst magazines contain text that could have been written in
February.
- CONSISTENT: The best magazines are internally consistent. The
worst magazines make self-contradictory predictions for players (e.g., a
first-team all-America player who is not all-Conference) or teams (e.g., a
team picked #1 in the national top 25 but not picked to win their own
conference).
Note that it is possible for a total failure in any of these four
sub-categories to result in a zero-star rating for the Information
Quality category. If there is no information content, it does not really
matter whether the authors attended spring practice. If the text is riddled
with major errors, it does not really matter whether detail is presented
because it cannot be trusted. [Weighting: High]
- Info Qty. - The quantity of information per team. The best
magazines devote a full page per team; the worst devote a couple of
paragraphs to the majority of I-A teams. The judgement is made on the basis
of the average space devoted to each I-A team. For example, if there is
abundant coverage of the top 25 teams, but greatly reduced coverage of all
other I-A teams, then deductions will be made. [Weighting: Medium]
- I-A Cover - The completeness of I-A coverage, in terms of teams
covered. Deductions are made for failure to cover the MAC, Big West, C-USA,
or minor I-A independents. [Weighting: Medium]
- Recap Info - Quantity and quality of previous year's information:
overall records, conference order of finish, individual game scores, etc.
[Weighting: Low]
- Price - The cost of the magazine compared to all others surveyed.
Lower prices get higher ratings. [Weighting: Low]
- When Found - The date when I was able to track down the magazine.
May not match the official release date or the date when the magazine showed
up in most places. When the data is in BLUE,
it is the date that the magazine arrived via mail-order.
Note: Since some of these ratings are scored relative to all
magazines, they can change as data for more magazines are entered. (For
example: the at the end of June, the most expensive magazine that I found
that month would rate zero stars for price. But if many of the magazines
found in July and August turned out to be even more expensive than that, its
price rating would have to be adjusted upwards.)
In the second table, an overview of the magazines' features is given. The
meaning of values in the fields vary, and are discussed below.
- Coverage : pgs. per team - The total space given to the discussion
of each team, in pages. If the per-team coverage varies, the space given to
the majority of teams is listed.
- Coverage : Reduced Coverage - Lists the I-A teams or conferences
which get noticeably reduced coverage (i.e., less than the number of pages in
the previous column). MAC and BW are used as abbreviations for the
Mid-American and Big West conferences, respectively.
- Coverage : No Coverage - Lists the I-A teams or conferences that
are not covered in the magazine at all.
- Word Count : Major Team - A rough count of the words of
description devoted to a team near the top of a major conference. The count
is made for one sample team (in 2001 the "major" team was Tennessee),
estimated by counting a few hundred words and then computing total column
space, and rounded off... but it should give an idea of the amount of textual
discussion that the various magazines have.
- Word Count : Minor Team - A rough count of the words of
description devoted to a team near the bottom of a minor conference. The
count is made for one sample team (in 2001 the "minor" team was Ball State),
estimated by counting a few hundred words and then computing total column
space, and rounded off... but it should give an idea of the amount of textual
discussion that the various magazines have.
- Lists : Proj. Roster - Indicates whether or not the magazine
projects the starting roster of each covered team. Values in this field
include "1" (starters only), "2" (two-deep), "L" (lists
of key players but no projected lineup), or "M" (mentions projected
starters for every position in the text, but does not have a projected lineup
table).
- Lists : Nat'l Rank - The number of teams ranked in the national
ranking. Most magazines rank at least 25 I-A teams; some rank all teams.
- Lists : All USA / All Conf. - The depth of the
all-conference/all-America teams. For example, if a magazine presents a
three-deep all-America team (three players at each position) then there will
be "3" in its column. Some magazines give long lists of the best
players at each position, but do not list the same number of players for
every position. These are indicated by a range (e.g., "10-25"). The
mark "H" is given to those magazines which (in addition to the number
specified) have an un-sorted "honorable mention" category per position.
- Lists : Units - The number of national "best units" (e.g., top
offensive lines). The mark "C" is given to those magazines which (in
addition to national unit rankings) rank teams' units within each
conference.
- Recap : Final Polls - Indicates which (if any) of the previous
year's final media or coaches polls are printed in the magazine.
- Recap : Conf. Finish - Indicates whether or not final I-A
conference finishes from the previous year are given.
- Recap : Game Scores - Indicates roughly what portion of the
previous year's game scores are given.
- Other : Recr. Pgs. - The number of pages of recruiting
information. The mark "+" is given to those magazines which have
additional recruiting information that is spread out throughout the magazine
(e.g., in each team's section) not included in the page count.
- Other : I-AA Pgs. - The number of pages devoted to I-AA coverage
(if blank there is no I-AA coverage except maybe for schedules). The special
mark "S" is used to indicate that only Some I-AA teams are
covered.