What's the accuracy score mean? Preseason Home Up (accuracy index)

Preseason Prediction Accuracy (1993-2019)


See "notes" following the table for more information on its contents.

Magazine Rank Total
Score
2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993
Athlon 1 3,752 127109146 137133151138 134154119144 141135158134147 149144162134149 120129109138149 162
Lindy's 2 3,757 127120157 148141145132 139151115151 168137171129 148149150155124 15211712692123 126164
Street & Smith / The Sporting News 3 3,768 134119178 147153151148 141174125150 154140170145133 146131173135155 12414099141132 164

This page shows the accuracy of preseason magazines' conference predictions for the 17-year span 1993-2019 ("all-time," as long as my preseason consensus has been produced, going into the 2020 season). In order to qualify for either table, a magazine must have been published for every year used in that table.

There is also a "2017-2019 (last three years)" table, a "2015-2019 (last five years)" table, and a "2010-2019 (last ten years)" table.

Tables with more years have the advantage of having a larger sample of data: a single unusually lucky or unlucky year has less impact on the standings. However, tables with fewer years have the advantage of including more magazines: several of the magazines available today were not published if one goes back far enough.

Notes:


What's the accuracy score mean? Preseason Home Up (accuracy index)