What's the accuracy score mean? Preseason Home Up (accuracy index)

Preseason Prediction Accuracy (1993-2006)


See "notes" following the table for more information on its contents.

Magazine Rank Total
Score
2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993
Street & Smith 1 1,933½ 168 139 143 147 155 180 136 138 119 117 103 138½ 110 140
Lindy's 2 1,936 171 129 148 149 150 155 124 152 117 126 92 123 126 164
GamePlan 3 1,978 174 157 145 141 154 165 132 157 126 118 111 132 122 144
Athlon 4 1,984 158 134 147 149 144 162 134 149 120 129 109 138 149 162
The Sporting News 5 1,988 170 145 133 146 131 173 135 155 124 140 99 141 132 164

This page shows the accuracy of preseason magazines' conference predictions for the fourteen-year span 1993-2006 ("all-time," as long as my preseason consensus has been produced, going into the 2007 season). In order to qualify for either table, a magazine must have been published for every year used in that table.

There is also a "2004-2006 (last three years)" table, and a "2002-2006 (last five years)" table.

Tables with more years have the advantage of having a larger sample of data: a single unusually lucky or unlucky year has less impact on the standings. However, tables with fewer years have the advantage of including more magazines: several of the magazines available today were not published if one goes back far enough.

Notes:


What's the accuracy score mean? Preseason Home Up (accuracy index)